The overall trend of paper products: paper prices are generally stable. Compared with last week, the price of double-adhesive paper remained unchanged this week; the price of coated paper dropped slightly by 0.26% this week; the price of gray-white paper remained unchanged this week: the price of white cardboard increased slightly by 0.04% this week; the corrugated paper of November The price has dropped, down 3.7g%, and the prices of other paper grades such as cardboard paper and kraft paper remain unchanged.
Raw material price trends: During the week, European pulp prices (in euros) rose sharply, while dollar pulp prices rose modestly. This week, the RMB continued to appreciate to a certain extent in the currency exchange rate of major producers. The price of imported major wood pulp brands (RMB) rose slightly by 0.35% this week, and the monthly increase was 1.68%. Due to the increase in sea freight rates, tight supply and reluctance to traders, waste paper, which is the main raw material for cardboard and newsprint, continued to rise significantly this week. The US papers for waste, European waste and daily waste were respectively 2.47%, 2.11%, and 3.20%; monthly increases of 6.6g%, 6.91%, and 9.94%, respectively.
Production data: The cumulative output of paper products has increased significantly year-on-year, and the cumulative output of pulp has decreased year-on-year. Since 2009, the growth rate of paper products has risen sharply and then increased with the recovery of demand. The total output of paper products in the first 11 months reached 86.67 million tons. The cumulative growth rate was further increased from 8.61% in the previous October to 10.11%. The total monthly pulp output was 17.56 million tons, which was reduced to 8.12% year-on-year (-10.34% in the previous October), indicating that the operating rate of domestic pulp mills is gradually recovering.
The decline in the volume and amount of imports of paper products slowed down, the volume of pulp imports increased significantly, and the decline in the amount slowed down; the export volume of dominant paper species increased rapidly, and the decline in imports slowed down. In the first 11 months, the cumulative decline in the volume and amount of imports of paper products further narrowed to -9.12% and -14.57%; the cumulative growth rate of pulp imports reached 43.4g%, and the amount of decline has rebounded to 1.89%. The export volume of coated paper in April-July was more than 50% in the previous month. The growth rate has slowed down since August, from October to 16.22%. The export growth rate of double-glue and whiteboard paper in October was 16.67% and 67.21 respectively. %.
Next year, the main line will expand capacity of the dominant paper type, that is, the listed company with the new project as the dominant paper type and larger than the original scale expansion is the investment target. In November, some leading companies' paper grades such as white cards were raised again, but the price increase manufacturers were weak, and there were partial conflicts in the downstream. It is expected that the profit of the dominant paper types will reach a stage high and will be stable in the future. .
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